HomeBlogUncategorizedUS June non-farm payrolls +147K vs +110K expected

US June non-farm payrolls +147K vs +110K expected

Prior was +139K (revised to +144K)Two-month net revision: +16K versus -95K prior
Unemployment rate: 4.1% versus 4.3% expected
Prior unemployment rate: 4.2%
Unrounded unemployment rate: 4.117% versus 4.244% prior
Participation rate: 62.3% versus 62.4% prior
Average hourly earnings (m/m): % versus +0.3% expected and +0.4% prior
Average hourly earnings (y/y): % versus +3.9% expected and +3.9% prior
Average weekly hours: 34.2 versus expected and 34.3 prior
Change in private payrolls: +74K versus +105K expected and +140K prior — lowest since Oct 2024
Change in manufacturing payrolls: +7K versus -5K expected and -5K prior
Government jobs: +73K versus -1K prior
Full-time jobs: +437K versus -623K prior
Part-time jobs: -367K versus K 33K prior
Household survey +93K vs -696K prior

USD/JPY was trading at 143.87 ahead of the data and shot to 144.97 afterwards as pricing for a July rate cut fell to pretty much nil. September pricing is also down to 20.8 basis points from 30 bps yesterday.

This is a big sigh of relief in markets after a poor ADP jobs reading yesterday.

The US dollar is broadly higher on the data and yields up 3-9 bps led by the front end.

Here is the breakdown, which shows that the large majority of the jobs were government or government-adjacent (healthcare). State and local hiring was huge and focused on education.

h/t @byHeatherLong

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.


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