HomeBlogUncategorizedUS final Q3 GDP +4.4% vs +4.3% expected

US final Q3 GDP +4.4% vs +4.3% expected

Second reading was 4.3%The final Q2 reading was 3.8%Consumer spending final 3.5% vs 2.5% priorQ3 corporate profits after tax +4.7%GDP final sales +4.5% vs +4.6% expected

Inflation metrics

GDP deflator vs 3.8% expectedCore PCE final vs 2.9% expectedPCE prices final vs 2.8% expected

Real GDP for the third quarter was revised up to 4.4%. This compares to the initial estimate of 4.3% and the second quarter’s final reading of 3.8%.

Real GDP was boosted 0.1 percentage point from the initial estimate, primarily reflecting upward
revisions to exports and investment that were partly offset by a downward revision to consumer
spending.The overall increase in real GDP in the third quarter reflected increases in consumer spending, exports,
government spending, and investment.

This is a stale report as we’re now three weeks beyond the fourth quarter now and pondering how that might look

Percentage point increases and decreases to GDP in the third quarter. yesterday, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracker climbed to 5.4% from 5.3% but there are skeptics, in large part because the government shutdown punched a big hole in the data.

Contributions to GDP in percentage points:

Government +0.38 Net exports +1.62Inventories -0.12Fixed investment +0.15Services +1.7 (health care alone was +0.75 pp)Goods +0.64
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.


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