HomeBlogUncategorizedGoldman Sachs on US CPI & jobs – labor market indicators more reliable on recession risk

Goldman Sachs on US CPI & jobs – labor market indicators more reliable on recession risk

I found a couple of items from Goldman Sachs, analysts at the firm having a peek at the inner working of both sides of the Federal Reserve mandate.

On the CPI report that’ll be released this week:

GS expect both headline and core CPI to have increased by 0.3% m/m in Septembercore +3.1% y/y see car price inflation and airfare price inflation decreasinglabor market and housing market prices coolingtariffs could push up prices in sectors impacted

Goldman Sachs addressed the US labor marekt also:

we should take the recent labor market weakness beyond the slowdown
in labor supply seriously

labor market indicators are more reliable predictors of recession
risk and future activity than activity indicators

Yes, despite the US government shut down, the US CPI data will get published:

ICYMI: US inflation report, CPI, set for release on October 24
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.


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